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The Ultimate Resource, by Julian Lincoln Simon
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The Description for this book, The Ultimate Resource, will be forthcoming.
- Sales Rank: #1180559 in Books
- Brand: Brand: Princeton Univ Pr
- Published on: 1983-01-21
- Original language: English
- Number of items: 1
- Dimensions: 9.50" h x 6.50" w x 1.25" l,
- Binding: Paperback
- 432 pages
- Used Book in Good Condition
Most helpful customer reviews
15 of 22 people found the following review helpful.
A must-read for anyone interested in population issues.
By Arsell Potasky
One reader below states that "Julian Simon is an idiot." The late Mr. Simon was clearly anything but an idiot. This same reader goes on to state that "the simple fact of the matter is that ANY level of growth in a closed system is unsustainable over a long enough period of time." That is true enough, but as Professor Simon points out, it isn't the issue. The issue is whether the limits of the closed system are sufficiently proximate so as to be relevant to policy decisions now. Professor Simon offers copious evidence to prove that whatever the ultimate physical limits of population growth might be (sunlight for photosynthesis striking the earth, land surface available for housing and farming), these limits are so very remote to be of essentially zero value in making policy decisions. Professor Simon illustrates this point by the following analogy: It is a generally-accepted fact that our Sun will burn out billions of years in the future. Thus, our Sun is ultimately a "closed system": only x amount of fuel, and then no more sunlight. While we can assume that this fact as true, it manifestly can have no reasonable bearing on our decisions today, since it is simply too remote. Professor Simon argues that the same is true for the carrying capacity for our Earth: ultimately we can perhaps talk about limits to resources, but it is demostrably true based on objective empirical evidence that these ultimate limits are so remote as to reduce them to irrelevance for any matter of public policy. Professor Simon convincingly argues that this is so for food production, living space, metals, wildlife, the environment, etc. I highly recommend reading this book along with Paul Ehlrich's "The Population Bomb." Professor Simon elsewhere shows the implications for the baby bust (to which books like "The Population Bomb" contributed) will have for solvency of Social Security and Medicare, as well as for the national security interests of the United States. I come away with the strong feeling that a furious hatred for mankind lurks behind the ZPG movement. Read this book, and pass it along to your friends.
4 of 8 people found the following review helpful.
Environmentalists dare not read this book!
By Brian Holtz
To all Earth Firsters, Sierra Club members, etc:
Reading this book is detrimental to your blissful
ignorance about the economic and scientific
realities of resource use by H. sapiens. If
you preserve your ignorance of Simon's analysis,
you will continue to have the warm fuzzy feeling
of moral superiority over anyone who disagrees with your agenda.
66 of 79 people found the following review helpful.
Magnificent--a tribute to humanity; a rubuke to Malthusians
By Craig Kenneth Bryant
Now in a second edition, and what a treat that is, because now the unquenchable optimism and sound forcasting of the first volume is backed up by decades of confirmatory data. Resources of all kinds--foods, metals, energy--are more abundant and cheaper, life expectancy is up, and so is the worldwide standard of living. Why is this so, in spite of the dire warnings (The Population Bomb, Famine: 1975!) of the latest crop of doomsayers? Read the book and find out. Find out also, why these trends show no signs of turning around--why the world will be even richer and more prosperous in the next century.
A reader, in an earlier review, suggests that Simon's ideas are "ridiculous" (in spite of the fact that he has been proven right, time and time again, and the doomsayers have to come out with new books every few years, adjusting forward their predictions of a doomsday that never comes), and goes on to say some very stupid things about "limits to the food supply." Go read them, then consider--that review, like most doomsayers, admits startling progress in increasing food yields, then assumes that such progress is over, or nearly so (six millennia of agricultural advance to the contrary). Why? In the first hundred pages of this book, Simon details cutting-edge technologies being employed commercially _today_ that could raise worldwide food production by orders of magnitude. But the eco-tastrophe crowd keeps talking about "closed systems," in spite of the fact that every new technological innovation keeps making the "system" effectively larger and larger.
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